Does Disagreement Amongst Forecasters Have Predictive Value?
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Does Disagreement amongst Forecasters have Predictive Value?
Forecasts from various experts are often used in macroeconomic forecasting models. Usually the focus is on the mean or median of the survey data. In the present study we adopt a different perspective on the survey data as we examine the predictive power of disagreement amongst forecasters. The premise is that this variable could signal upcoming structural or temporal changes in an economic proc...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Forecasting
سال: 2015
ISSN: 0277-6693
DOI: 10.1002/for.2330